Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 6.830975 7.818176 8.912293 10.217273 11.734582 13.446916 15.531088
2025-01-12 5.436722 6.689826 8.192685 10.136755 12.597868 15.626674 19.662412
2025-01-19 4.582560 5.936976 7.655732 10.013883 13.191587 17.362435 23.312560
2025-01-26 4.153448 5.615281 7.559487 10.362023 14.343750 19.866014 28.223734
2025-02-02 3.784340 5.305436 7.411344 10.579138 15.291795 22.151606 33.092048
2025-02-09 3.542871 5.132254 7.414155 10.982729 16.520901 24.951431 39.071476
2025-02-16 3.160798 4.706807 6.995657 10.695396 16.648737 26.067766 42.528992
2025-02-23 2.881461 4.402150 6.718840 10.581357 17.012236 27.565903 46.775046
2025-03-02 2.645544 4.138483 6.473960 10.481734 17.370966 29.073183 51.209973
2025-03-09 2.428251 3.882128 6.212748 10.320530 17.594863 30.356512 55.391114
2025-03-16 2.222988 3.625795 5.925764 10.081118 17.646193 31.324596 59.091539
2025-03-23 2.157740 3.595815 6.011463 10.494231 18.904543 34.620932 67.747809
2025-03-30 2.039236 3.466862 5.919725 10.587024 19.594691 36.960194 74.896720
2025-04-06 1.906440 3.301458 5.748956 10.515861 19.962117 38.714037 81.088469
2025-04-13 1.778920 3.134409 5.559767 10.388614 20.200301 40.228117 86.975902
2025-04-20 1.730281 3.106375 5.621691 10.751116 21.463136 44.009141 98.554875
2025-04-27 1.667159 3.045724 5.616212 10.977191 22.465259 47.355548 109.661633
2025-05-04 1.631723 3.034225 5.702816 11.397483 23.927637 51.898541 124.435772
2025-05-11 1.516785 2.859888 5.456395 11.098254 23.774646 52.751315 130.049816
2025-05-18 1.431063 2.736625 5.301784 10.979502 24.013379 54.544604 138.408460
2025-05-25 1.353721 2.624363 5.160464 10.875766 24.274020 56.420298 147.304227
2025-06-01 1.276099 2.505928 4.997226 10.707915 24.364516 57.887633 155.317867
2025-06-08 1.196808 2.378544 4.805722 10.458649 24.231867 58.775956 161.830057